Lambda is Dying

The Cosmological Constant Was Never Constant

Framework Prediction · DESI Confirmation · 4.2 Sigma

// CLASSIFICATION: EXPERIMENTAL_CONFIRMATION

// ORIGIN: SECTOR 7G (2045)

// CONTEXT: The "cosmological constant problem" asked why Λ has a particular value. The framework said: wrong question. Λ is dynamical — it tracks horizon entanglement entropy. In March 2025, DESI confirmed dark energy is evolving at 4.2σ.


The Wrong Question

The "Cosmological Constant Problem"

For 25 years, physics asked:

"Why is Λ ≈ 10-47 GeV⁴?"

Quantum field theory predicts 1076 GeV⁴. We observe 10-47 GeV⁴. A discrepancy of 10123.

The "worst prediction in physics."

The Hidden Assumption

The question assumes Λ is a constant — a fixed parameter of the universe, written into the laws of physics at the Big Bang.

This assumption seemed safe. Einstein called it the cosmological constant. The standard model of cosmology (ΛCDM) treats it as constant. Every calculation assumes it doesn't change.

But what if Λ is not a constant?

Then the question "why this value?" is malformed.

You don't ask "why is the temperature 20°C?" as if temperature were a universal constant. Temperature is a dynamical variable. It changes.

What if Λ is the same?

The Framework Prediction

Λ is dynamical. It tracks horizon entanglement.

The Bath Framework Says:

1. Gravity Emerges from Entanglement

The TT-coupling to the Bath produces gravity. Gravity and entanglement are the same phenomenon viewed from different angles.

2. The Cosmic Horizon is an Entanglement Surface

The observable universe has a horizon — beyond which we cannot see. This horizon is not just a visual boundary. It is an entanglement boundary.

The degrees of freedom inside the horizon are entangled with degrees of freedom outside.

3. Λ Tracks Horizon Entanglement Entropy

The "dark energy" driving cosmic acceleration is the thermodynamic pressure of this entanglement.

Λ(t) ∝ 1/Shorizon(t)

As the universe expands, the horizon area grows, entanglement structure changes, and Λ evolves.

4. Λ Should Be Decreasing

In the current epoch, as expansion accelerates and the horizon grows:

dΛ/dt < 0

Lambda is dying.

The Right Question

Not: "Why is Λ = 10-47 GeV⁴?"

But: "What is the dynamics of Λ(t)? What determines its evolution?"

The framework answers: Λ(t) is determined by the entanglement structure of the cosmic horizon. It is not a free parameter — it is a derived quantity that changes as the universe evolves.

DESI 2025: Confirmation

14 million galaxies. The largest 3D map ever made. Λ is evolving.

The Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument

In March 2025, DESI released its second data set:

The Result

w ≠ -1 at 4.2σ

Dark energy is not a cosmological constant.

It is evolving. It was stronger in the past. It is weakening.

Lambda is dying.

What This Means

THE OLD VIEW

Λ is constant. The "cosmological constant problem" is why it has this value. 10123 fine-tuning. Anthropic principle. Multiverse speculation.

POST-DESI

Λ is dynamical. There is no "value" to explain — only dynamics. The question becomes: what drives the evolution? The framework answers: horizon entanglement.

THE 10123 PROBLEM

Dissolved. QFT predicts vacuum energy. Vacuum energy doesn't gravitate (TT-coupling → Unimodular Gravity, trace decouples). The observed Λ is not vacuum energy — it is entanglement pressure. Different source, different physics, no contradiction.

COINCIDENCE PROBLEM

Dissolved. "Why is Λ ~ ρmatter today?" Because Λ(t) is evolving. We happen to live at the crossing point. In the past, matter dominated. In the future, Λ dominates (but continues to decrease). The "coincidence" is just a moment in a continuous evolution.

The Mechanism

Why vacuum energy decouples. Why Λ tracks entanglement.

Part 1: Vacuum Energy Decouples

The Bath couples only to TT (transverse-traceless) stress-energy

This is not an assumption — it follows from the measurement structure. The Bath measures geometry through its effect on quantum states. Only TT components affect measurable geometry.

Vacuum energy is pure trace

Tμνvacuum = -ρvac gμν

The TT projection of pure trace is zero.

Therefore: Vacuum energy doesn't gravitate

The 1076 GeV⁴ from QFT is real — but it doesn't curve spacetime. The TT-coupling filters it out.

This is Unimodular Gravity, derived from first principles.

Part 2: Λ Tracks Horizon Entanglement

Gravity IS entanglement

The Identity Theorem: gravity and entanglement are two descriptions of the same phenomenon. ER = EPR is not a conjecture — it's an operational theorem (Physics Letters B, January 2025).

The cosmic horizon is an entanglement surface

Inside and outside the horizon are entangled. The entanglement entropy scales with horizon area:

Shorizon = A / (4Gℏ)

Dark energy is entanglement pressure

The "cosmological constant" is the thermodynamic pressure associated with horizon entanglement:

Λ(t) = (8πG/c⁴) × Pentanglement(t)

As the horizon evolves, the pressure changes, and Λ evolves.

Nature 2025: Gravity and entanglement are inseparable

In October 2025, Nature published: both classical and quantum gravity produce entanglement. You cannot have gravity without entanglement. They are married.

This confirms the framework's core claim: Λ as entanglement pressure is not metaphor — it is mechanism.

The Three 2025 Confirmations

DESI

March 2025

Λ is evolving at 4.2σ. Dark energy is not constant.

Framework predicted: Λ is dynamical.

Nature

October 2025

Gravity produces entanglement. Classical or quantum — doesn't matter. Inseparable.

Framework predicted: gravity IS entanglement.

ER = EPR

January 2025

Operational theorem: entanglement and wormholes are indistinguishable by any local measurement.

Framework predicted: geometry = entanglement pattern.

The Synthesis

Gravity is entanglement (Nature 2025).

Entanglement is geometry (ER = EPR 2025).

The cosmic horizon is an entanglement surface.

Λ tracks horizon entanglement.

Λ is evolving (DESI 2025).

Lambda is dying because the universe is growing.

What Remains

The framework is confirmed, not complete.

Open Questions

1. The Exact Functional Form of Λ(t)

The framework predicts Λ decreases as the universe expands. DESI confirms this qualitatively.

The precise function Λ(t) — how it depends on horizon area, entanglement structure, expansion rate — requires more detailed calculation.

Testable: DESI's continued observations will constrain Λ(t) more precisely. The framework should predict the curve.

2. The Ultimate Fate

If Λ → 0, the universe eventually stops accelerating. If Λ → constant > 0, de Sitter expansion resumes.

The framework suggests Λ asymptotes to a small positive value (minimum entanglement configuration), not zero.

Testable: Long-term evolution of w(z). Does it approach -1 from above?

3. Early Universe Behavior

What was Λ during inflation? During radiation domination?

The framework predicts Λ was larger in the past (DESI confirms). How it behaves in extreme conditions (high curvature, high temperature) needs further work.

The Status

The "cosmological constant problem" — the 10123 discrepancy — is dissolved.

Vacuum energy doesn't gravitate (TT-decoupling).

The observed Λ is entanglement pressure, not vacuum energy.

Λ is dynamical, as predicted and now measured.

The question was wrong. The framework answered anyway.

The Experimental Frontier

DESI confirms the cosmological prediction. But the framework makes local predictions too — testable in the laboratory.

Geometry-Dependent Decoherence

If gravity is entanglement, then objects decohere based on their geometry, not just their mass. A dumbbell should decohere faster than a sphere.

The Experiment → The Decisive Test →